Global Shares Climb as US Yields Drop Amid Earnings Anticipation

July 23, 2024

Global markets experienced a positive shift on Tuesday, with rising stocks and falling U.S. yields as investors keenly awaited upcoming economic data and a wave of corporate earnings. Despite the political ripples from President Joe Biden’s decision to end his re-election bid, market sentiment remained buoyant.

Optimistic Outlook Amidst Earnings Reports

Investor attention is firmly set on the quarterly earnings reports of major technology giants, Tesla (TSLA.O) and Alphabet (GOOGL.O), due after Tuesday’s closing bell. These reports are expected to set the tone for the earnings season of mega-cap tech stocks, which have significantly contributed to recent market rallies.

“The market is in the show-me-the-money stage where it’s about the earnings being delivered,” said Wasif Latif, chief investment officer at Sarmaya Partners. This sentiment reflects investors’ high expectations for these tech giants to continue their strong performance.

Economic Data on the Horizon

In addition to corporate earnings, markets are also focused on Friday’s release of the core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index. The PCE index is the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation and could provide crucial insights into the future direction of monetary policy.

The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes fell 3.5 basis points to 4.225%, indicating a cautious approach by investors as they await further economic data. This yield drop suggests a potential shift in investor sentiment towards safer assets amidst economic uncertainty.

Global Market Performance

The MSCI’s gauge of stocks across the globe (.MIWD00000PUS) rose 0.26% to 819.00, signaling a broad-based increase in global equities. All three major indexes saw gains on Wall Street, with consumer discretionary and technology stocks leading the charge. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) rose 0.21% to 40,500.79, the S&P 500 (.SPX) gained 0.33% to 5,582.50, and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) climbed 0.55% to 18,107.32.

In Europe, the pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) finished up 0.07%, buoyed by a rally in technology-related shares. “We’ve had a strong run-up so far this year, and a lot of the good news up until now is baked in, whether it’s earnings-related or rate-cut related,” Latif noted, highlighting the positive market sentiment that has prevailed throughout the year.

Political Developments

On the political front, Vice President Kamala Harris is set to campaign in the battleground state of Wisconsin after securing majority delegate support for the Democratic National Convention, making her the party’s presumptive nominee. This political shift adds another layer of complexity to the market dynamics, although investors seem more focused on economic and corporate data now.

As global shares rise and U.S. yields fall, the markets braced for a pivotal week of corporate earnings and key economic data releases. The performance of major technology companies like Tesla and Alphabet will be closely watched, as will the upcoming inflation data. Investors are navigating a landscape of high expectations and cautious optimism, seeking clear signals on future market direction.

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